Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.560959 0.625395 0.695115 0.776302 0.868422 0.969907 1.090452
2025-03-16 0.453033 0.539806 0.641036 0.768461 0.925417 1.113501 1.357562
2025-03-23 0.398815 0.496475 0.616242 0.775125 0.982149 1.245194 1.608613
2025-03-30 0.352889 0.454757 0.584737 0.764596 1.009905 1.336974 1.813112
2025-04-06 0.319455 0.423986 0.561975 0.760006 1.041094 1.432137 2.028621
2025-04-13 0.283190 0.385175 0.523675 0.728631 1.029561 1.463715 2.153254
2025-04-20 0.265241 0.369435 0.514891 0.736715 1.073484 1.577265 2.410563
2025-04-27 0.249931 0.355767 0.507309 0.744937 1.117123 1.693160 2.683413
2025-05-04 0.235938 0.342630 0.499012 0.750648 1.156416 1.804877 2.961189
2025-05-11 0.222672 0.329375 0.489189 0.752600 1.189085 1.908010 3.235338
2025-05-18 0.212586 0.320080 0.484472 0.761820 1.233790 2.034578 3.564910
2025-05-25 0.197671 0.302135 0.464752 0.744634 1.231940 2.080259 3.750908
2025-06-01 0.190332 0.295894 0.463552 0.758724 1.286264 2.232146 4.160964
2025-06-08 0.179354 0.283022 0.450612 0.751656 1.302386 2.316364 4.450236
2025-06-15 0.171946 0.275450 0.445796 0.758107 1.343218 2.450234 4.857163
2025-06-22 0.162214 0.263310 0.432330 0.747843 1.351571 2.521882 5.142108
2025-06-29 0.154282 0.253709 0.422536 0.743367 1.370312 2.615527 5.487031
2025-07-06 0.142791 0.237260 0.399671 0.712768 1.335059 2.595615 5.573369
2025-07-13 0.138145 0.232514 0.397278 0.720652 1.377185 2.740534 6.061069
2025-07-20 0.133827 0.228070 0.395095 0.728672 1.420153 2.891568 6.585455
2025-07-27 0.129443 0.223229 0.391835 0.734241 1.458372 3.036092 7.115393
2025-08-03 0.124847 0.217724 0.386963 0.736145 1.488821 3.166253 7.628462
2025-08-10 0.121447 0.214229 0.385648 0.745135 1.535433 3.338540 8.279710